OPINION — The Pentagon’s push to overhaul its gradual, specification-driven procurement system is an overdue acknowledgment that our protection industrial base has change into too slim, too fragile, and too depending on overseas provide chains. America’s protection institution is lastly waking as much as a crucial weak spot that has metastasized in current a long time: now we have drifted away from the commercial may that after shaped the bedrock of our economic system and allowed us to out-produce any adversary on the earth.
Whereas there are numerous warning indicators, one symptom of the issue is unmistakably clear: america shouldn’t be producing what it wants on the pace and scale fashionable battle calls for. Latest reporting reveals the U.S. Military remains to be struggling to satisfy its 155mm artillery-shell manufacturing objectives after years of effort. Throughout the spectrum—from superior missile interceptors to one thing as fundamental as black powder—we’re falling dangerously behind in each manufacturing capability and supply-chain resilience. For now, these shortfalls are showing in conflicts that don’t instantly contain American troops, however the fact is {that a} main conflict will see america compelled to ration supplies and munitions, deploying untested prototypes on the battlefield whereas the protection industrial base races to catch up. We should act now to forestall this from taking place.
If we’re critical about profitable the subsequent conflict—or higher but, deter it—we should rethink each how we purchase army gear and weapons, and how briskly we will make them. We don’t want one other half measure or a totally authorities resolution. As a substitute, the federal government ought to leverage the non-public sector to construct a nationwide community of multifaceted, resilient manufacturing nodes that may surge manufacturing of all the things from drones, autos, and physique armor to drugs, munitions, and microelectronics in instances of disaster, whereas sustaining manufacturing strains for industrial merchandise in peacetime. The facility of the U.S. economic system can, and may, be leveraged to unravel this downside.
This community of manufacturing facilities, or campuses, would deliver collectively startups and established producers in the identical ecosystem, enabling the form of fast prototyping, pilot manufacturing, and full-rate manufacturing the Pentagon is urgently searching for. Every of those campuses could be designed for flexibility, with modular manufacturing capabilities that may be quickly upgraded, and shared heavy infrastructure equivalent to check beds, utilities, and analytical techniques. Moreover, these amenities could be a part of a related nationwide community, leveraging the regional strengths of every a part of the nation whereas avoiding the one factors of failure generally present in as we speak’s extremely concentrated manufacturing hubs.
Join the Cyber Initiatives Group Sunday e-newsletter, delivering expert-level insights on the cyber and tech tales of the day – on to your inbox. Join the CIG e-newsletter as we speak.
At this time, the hole between a profitable prototype and real-world manufacturing is usually a chasm within the protection industrial base. Main corporations are sometimes tied up sustaining legacy techniques whereas cash-strapped startups can not afford to construct compliant, capital-intensive factories with out manufacturing contracts. These startups are sometimes advised that contracts received’t come till they show they will manufacture at scale. So promising applied sciences stall in a chicken-or-egg limbo whereas delays snowball. The Pentagon’s renewed embrace of OTAs helps, however cash alone received’t repair a bodily bottleneck. We’d like locations the place cutting-edge corporations can scale shortly, and affordably.
A nationwide community of commercial campuses is designed to fill this hole. Below this mannequin, corporations wouldn’t pay building prices up entrance; lease funds would start solely after they transfer in and begin producing income. Layering into the mannequin a sure variety of shared amenities—initially funded by the Pentagon—would scale back threat, speed up improvement, and dramatically shorten manufacturing timelines. Younger corporations achieve room to develop. Established corporations achieve entry to contemporary innovation – and taxpayer {dollars} go additional.
This isn’t a radical concept. It’s an evolution of the mannequin that after made America unstoppable. In World Conflict II, factories throughout the economic system—automotive, textile, shopper items, and extra—reworked to assist the conflict effort. That surge capability occurred as a result of america had an present industrial ecosystem able to mobilize. At this time, we not have one.
A long time of offshoring, consolidation, and a fixation on short-term effectivity have left our industrial base brittle and stuffed with holes. COVID-19 made that painfully clear when the world’s largest economic system discovered itself depending on overseas suppliers for PPE and fundamental provides. Semiconductor shortages nonetheless gradual protection and automotive strains. In the meantime, our adversaries are turning fundamental industries into warfighting property. Russian bakeries are producing drones and China is treating its manufacturing capabilities as a strategic weapon whereas in America, we’ve been treating our manufacturing base like an accounting train.
The Cipher Transient brings expert-level context to nationwide and international safety tales. It’s by no means been extra necessary to know what’s taking place on the earth. Improve your entry to unique content material by turning into a subscriber.
The federal government should shift course. Manufacturing is a strategic asset—each bit as necessary as ships, planes, satellites, or submarines. Washington ought to fund shared industrial infrastructure, de-risk non-public funding, and let market forces drive effectivity.
The maths is easy. In some circumstances, corporations piloting these packages have delivered 4:1 to 25:1 returns on tax {dollars}, producing main features for minimal authorities investments. With a protection funds exceeding $800 billion, the Pentagon can simply afford to take a position a sliver of that—nicely below one %—to ship a transparent, unambiguous demand sign to the non-public sector that America is rebuilding its industrial spine, and doing it now.
Historical past reveals what occurs once we do. Modest seed capital throughout World Conflict II and the Apollo program unlocked huge non-public funding and generated a whole lot of improvements which have come to outline the fashionable age. These campuses could be greater than factories—they’d be hubs the place producers, universities, buyers, and federal companions construct self-sustaining ecosystems able to accelerating innovation, fostering expertise, and producing crucial items at scale. They’d restore American industrial depth, innovation, and suppleness—our most dependable, most underestimated instruments of deterrence.
America is racing into the subsequent complicated period of great-power competitors with a protection industrial base limping alongside from the final period; one which is just too small, too fragile, and too gradual. We are able to invent extraordinary applied sciences, however what use are they sitting in a lab if we will’t produce them at scale? If that doesn’t change, america dangers discovering—too late—that innovation with out industrial energy is a hole benefit.
Rebuilding American manufacturing can be tough. However the price of inaction is way larger. A nation with a deep, versatile industrial base can surge manufacturing, soak up financial shocks, and outlast any adversary, on the battlefield and the house entrance. A nation with out one is compelled to ration weapons, delay deployments, and scramble to maintain its provide chains functioning.
We are able to construct this community now or we will look ahead to a disaster to reveal, as soon as once more, how fragile our industrial base has change into. Within the subsequent battle, the world’s strongest army should have the ability to depend upon its factories to maintain up.
The Cipher Transient is dedicated to publishing a variety of views on nationwide safety points submitted by deeply skilled nationwide safety professionals.
Opinions expressed are these of the creator and don’t characterize the views or opinions of The Cipher Transient.
Have a perspective to share primarily based in your expertise within the nationwide safety subject? Ship it to Editor@thecipherbrief.com for publication consideration.
Learn extra expert-driven nationwide safety insights, perspective and evaluation in The Cipher Transient, as a result of nationwide safety is everybody’s enterprise.