Did Timothee Chalamet Wreck His Personal Probabilities of Profitable an Oscar?


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There was a time — not all that way back — when Timothee Chalamet was the odds-on favourite to win this yr’s Academy Award for Finest Actor.

The 30-year-old drew rave opinions for his work in Marty Supreme, however much more impactful was the press tour he launched on his personal behalf.

Forward of the movie’s launch, Timmy was in all places: speak exhibits, social media feeds, standing on prime of the Sphere in Vegas — you identify it.

He was selling Marty, positive — however he was additionally selling himself.

French-US actor Timothee Chalamet attends the 98th Oscars Nominees Luncheon at the Beverly Hilton hotel in Beverly Hills, California on February 10, 2026. French-US actor Timothee Chalamet attends the 98th Oscars Nominees Luncheon at the Beverly Hilton hotel in Beverly Hills, California on February 10, 2026.
French-US actor Timothee Chalamet attends the 98th Oscars Nominees Luncheon on the Beverly Hilton lodge in Beverly Hills, California on February 10, 2026. (Picture by Frederic J. Brown / AFP through Getty Pictures)

Chalamet has made no secret of the truth that he badly desires to see an Oscar on his mantel.

And he’s already come shut greater than as soon as.

That is Timmy’s third nomination, and for some time, it appeared like this is able to lastly be his yr.

Having simply turned 30 in December, Chalamet can be one of many youngest Finest Actor winners in historical past.

(Adrien Brody holds the title by a nostril — no pun supposed — having scored his statuette for The Pianist on the age of 29 years and 343 days outdated.)

Timothée Chalamet speaks during the Valentine's Day weekend special screening of "Call Me By Your Name", hosted by Cinespia, at Los Angeles Theatre on February 13, 2026 in Los Angeles, California. Timothée Chalamet speaks during the Valentine's Day weekend special screening of "Call Me By Your Name", hosted by Cinespia, at Los Angeles Theatre on February 13, 2026 in Los Angeles, California.
Timothée Chalamet speaks throughout the Valentine’s Day weekend particular screening of “Name Me By Your Title”, hosted by Cinespia, at Los Angeles Theatre on February 13, 2026 in Los Angeles, California. (Picture by Frazer Harrison/Getty Pictures)

However he’s been on the scene for thus lengthy — and turned in so many stable performances — that it felt like he was lon overdue for Hollywood’s greatest prize.

As just lately as January, a Chalamet victory appeared like a lock.

He took dwelling the highest prize on the Golden Globes, and plenty of prognosticators began treating his Oscar win as a foregone conclusion.

However then Michael B. Jordan took dwelling the highest prize at the Actor Awards. And Chalamet was neglected on the BAFTAs, with the evening’s prime appearing prize going to Robert Aramayo.

Chalamet has notched a couple of small wins within the pre-Oscar minor leagues, however more and more, there’s a sense that Jordan has the momentum heading into the business’s greatest evening.

Timothée Chalamet poses upon arrival on the red carpet for screening of his film "Marty Supreme" in Beijing on March 10, 2026. Timothée Chalamet poses upon arrival on the red carpet for screening of his film "Marty Supreme" in Beijing on March 10, 2026.
Timothée Chalamet poses upon arrival on the pink carpet for screening of his movie “Marty Supreme” in Beijing on March 10, 2026. (Picture by ADEK BERRY / AFP through Getty Pictures)

So what occurred?

Effectively, it’s doable that Chalamet simply made himself a bit too seen over the previous few weeks (did we point out that stunt on the Sphere?).

Oscar voters like to keep up the phantasm that they’re voting based mostly on the power of the performances, not how laborious the actors marketing campaign.

Harvey Weinstein is usually credited because the inventor of the modern-day, ultra-aggressive award season blitz, and his ways have fallen out of favor for apparent causes.

On prime of that, Timmy didn’t enhance his odds when he executed a large unforced error, remarking on the declining recognition of opera and ballet throughout a sit-down with Matthew McConaughey.

Timothée Chalamet speaks onstage during the 78th Annual Directors Guild Of America Awards at The Beverly Hilton on February 07, 2026 in Beverly Hills, California.  Timothée Chalamet speaks onstage during the 78th Annual Directors Guild Of America Awards at The Beverly Hilton on February 07, 2026 in Beverly Hills, California.
Timothée Chalamet speaks onstage throughout the 78th Annual Administrators Guild Of America Awards at The Beverly Hilton on February 07, 2026 in Beverly Hills, California. (Picture by Kevin Winter/Getty Pictures for DGA)

Whereas Chalamet may view himself as a film star initially, many if not most Academy members view themselves as artists — ones who exist in a world that’s adjoining to the one occupied by opera singers and ballet dancers.

Thus, an offhand comment may need dealt him a deadly blow within the last days of Oscar voting.

However no matter occurs on Sunday evening, Timmy shall be simply tremendous.

He’s nonetheless one of many greatest stars on the planet, he’s nonetheless relationship Kylie Jenner, and he’s bought a slew of high-profile initiatives lined up (as he at all times does).

And we’re positive he’ll win that Oscar finally.

He simply may need to attend for a yr when Michael B. Jordan’s not nominated.

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