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Choice Awards Circuit half is the home for all awards info and related content material materials all yr lengthy, that features the following: the official predictions for the upcoming Oscars, Emmys, Grammys and Tony Awards ceremonies, curated by Choice senior awards editor Clayton Davis. The prediction pages replicate the current standings throughout the race and don’t replicate non-public preferences for any specific particular person contender. As completely different formal (and informal) polls counsel, competitions are fluid and subject to differ based totally on buzz and events. Predictions are updated every Thursday.

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SAG Awards Commentary (Updated Jan. 6, 2025): Netflix’s Spanish-language crime musical “Emilia Pérez,” which dazzled on the Golden Globes on Sunday, is poised to dominate the upcoming SAG Awards nominations with 4 nods: cast ensemble, actress (Karla Sofía Gascón), and two supporting actress spots for Selena Gomez and Zoe Saldaña.

Projected to be scorching on its heels throughout the nominations tally are Frequent Footage’ blockbuster musical “Wicked” and Focus Choices’ papal thriller “Conclave,” each with three.

The SAG NomCom — comprised of two,000 anonymous guild members in film and TV — has a storied historic previous of surprises. Motion pictures like “Residence of Gucci” and “The Big Sick” have defied the odds to earn recognition, whereas others like “Crazy Rich Asians” and “Beasts of No Nation” cherished SAG glory nevertheless have been shut out on the Oscars. The guild’s penchant for big, star-studded casts might give an edge to Sony Footage’ “Saturday Night,” which boasts an ensemble of 26 specific particular person title enjoying playing cards. Must it receive a nomination, it may surpass “Gosford Park” (2001) for crucial nominated cast in SAG historic previous.

Top-of-the-line actor race is a nail-biter, with the fifth slot up for grabs. Might it go to Daniel Craig for his transformative flip in “Queer,” Hugh Grant for the horror thriller “Heretic,” or Sebastian Stan, who delivered stellar performances in every “The Apprentice” and “A Utterly completely different Man?” And with Stan, which may convey his co-star Jeremy Sturdy in for the journey as successfully.

Inside the fiercely aggressive best actress class, Gascón (“Emilia Pérez”) and Cynthia Erivo (“Wicked”) are anticipated to shine in musical performances, whereas Demi Moore (“The Substance”) and Mikey Madison (“Anora”) have been developing steam for weeks. Nonetheless, Marianne Jean-Baptiste’s groundbreaking portrayal in “Arduous Truths” might very effectively be the darkish horse. Jean-Baptiste not too way back completed a unusual critics’ trifecta, worthwhile accolades from the NYFCC, LAFCA, and the Nationwide Society of Film Critics — a feat achieved by solely 5 completely different women — twice by Cate Blanchett (“Blue Jasmine” and “Tár”), Isabelle Huppert (“Elle”), and two completely different Leigh-directed predominant ladies, Sally Hawkins (“Glad-Go-Lucky”) and Imelda Staunton (“Vera Drake”). Together with further confusion, Fernanda Torres, up to date off her Golden Globe win for “I’m Nonetheless Proper right here,” might disrupt the race for Angelina Jolie (“Maria”) and Nicole Kidman (“Babygirl”). I’m starting to contemplate the category’s depth suggests no frontrunner is genuinely protected.

The supporting performing lessons promise to be equally aggressive. Clarence Maclin (“Sing Sing”) and Danielle Deadwyler (“The Piano Lesson”), every snubbed on the Golden Globes, might uncover redemption proper right here. Within the meantime, nonetheless unheralded contenders like Stanley Tucci (“Conclave”) and the duo from “A Full Unknown,” Elle Fanning and Monica Barbaro, keep wild enjoying playing cards. These lessons normally have a great time under-the-radar performances, providing an opportunity for breakouts.

The SAG Awards have prolonged been a bellwether for Emmy contenders, and this yr isn’t any utterly completely different. FX’s epic historic drama “Shōgun,” headlined by Hiroyuki Sanada and Anna Sawai, has already shattered knowledge, turning into most likely essentially the most embellished drama assortment in historic previous. We rely on it to nonetheless dominate with two Netflix assortment, “The Diplomat” and “Squid Recreation.”

In comedy, ABC’s “Abbott Elementary” stays a dominant drive, with its clever writing and seamless ensemble — led by Quinta Brunson — cementing its standing as an awards darling. Totally different predominant contenders embody Hulu’s “Solely Murders throughout the Setting up,” that features comedic heavyweights Steve Martin, Martin Fast, and Selena Gomez, and FX’s culinary drama “The Bear,” which has grow to be one in every of many yr’s most critically lauded assortment. Whether or not or not HBO/Max’s “Hacks” makes a roaring comeback stays.

The SAG Awards nominations could be unveiled on Wednesday, Jan. 8, with actors Joey King (“We Had been the Lucky Ones”) and Cooper Koch (“Monsters: The Lyle and Erik Menendez Story”) asserting the honorees. It might very effectively be a occupation milestone for Koch, as he’s vulnerable to score a nod for his chilling portrayal throughout the streaming assortment.

The last word SAG Awards nomination predictions are underneath.

The thirty first Show display Actors Guild Awards will air keep on Netflix on Sunday, Feb. 23, 2025, and the 97th Oscars could be held on Sunday, March 2.

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